Paul Adler1, Stephen Ogle2, William J. Parton2, Stephen J. Del Grosso1, and Keith Paustian3. (1) Pasture Systems and Watershed Management Research Unit, USDA-ARS, Building 3702 Curtin Road, University Park, PA 16802, (2) Colorado State University, Natural Resource Ecology Lab, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, (3) Department of Soil and Crop Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
With the increased demand for corn ethanol, farmers are expected to plant the largest corn acreage in the United States since 1944. One of the main reasons for producing corn ethanol is the reduced greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions compared with gasoline. However, quantifying the offset of GHG emissions by corn is complex. Bioenergy crops offset CO2 emissions by converting atmospheric CO2 to organic C in crop biomass and soil, but they also emit N2O and vary in their effects on soil oxidation of methane. Growing the crops requires energy, and so does converting the harvested product to usable fuels. Nitrous oxide and other GHG emissions vary with the climate, soil properties, and land use. With more than 40% of contracts for land enrollment in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) expiring over the next 5 years, significant portions of this land could be converted to corn production. This would change land that has been a sink for CO2 to being a source, even under no-till management. Corn production is also likely to increase on lands with crops grown in rotation with corn, such as soybeans. This may result in increased soil C storage, but greater N2O emissions from the soil and increased fossil fuel use from agricultural machinery and chemical inputs. The GHG mitigation potential from increased corn ethanol production will be very different depending on prior land use and production potential of the land.